Ebbsfleet United 1-0 Chippenham Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 16 Aug 2025

📅16/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.45
Draw
19%
4.19
Away
20%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.03
Over 2.5
55%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.9
No
48%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.53
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
24%
3.04
6+ Goals
11%
10.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
65%
-3.1pp
19%
Draw
21%
-1.9pp
20%
Away Win
15%
+5.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
45%
-0.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
55%
+0.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.9pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ebbsfleet United EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Chippenham Town EU Bookmakers 18%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +14%
2.33/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.43
+26% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / +24%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
372 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ebbsfleet United
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Chippenham Town
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
63% Ball Possession 37%
14 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
14.02.2023 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United İCON
06.08.2022 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 3-0 HT 1-0 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town İCON
30.04.2022 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 2-2 HT 0-1 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town İCON
28.09.2021 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town 2-5 HT 1-2 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United İCON
15.12.2020 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 1-1 HT 0-0 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town FAK
14.11.2020 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town 1-2 HT 1-0 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ebbsfleet United
1-0
AWAY Chippenham Town
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ebbsfleet United vs Chippenham Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ebbsfleet United nicked a narrow win over Chippenham Town 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Ebbsfleet United as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ebbsfleet United had 46% of the ball to Chippenham Town's 54%, shots finished 8-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ebbsfleet United had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Ebbsfleet United and 1.00 for Chippenham Town.

What was the final score of Ebbsfleet United vs Chippenham Town?

Ebbsfleet United 1-0 Chippenham Town in the England - Conference on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ebbsfleet United vs Chippenham Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ebbsfleet United win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Ebbsfleet United 62%, draw 19%, Chippenham Town 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ebbsfleet United) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ebbsfleet United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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