Eastbourne Borough 1-2 AFC Hornchurch — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 16 Aug 2025

📅16/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.84
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
40%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.95
Over 2.5
55%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.68
No
42%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.27
2-3 Goals
40%
1.73
4-5 Goals
25%
3.21
6+ Goals
12%
11.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
32%
+5.5pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.3pp
40%
Away Win
44%
-3.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
48%
-3.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
52%
+3.1pp
58%
BTTS Yes
56%
+2.9pp
42%
BTTS No
44%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eastbourne Borough EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Hornchurch EU Bookmakers 48%
-1% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
1.31/1.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.52/2.05
+1% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +66% / -42%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
247 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eastbourne Borough
1W-1D-0L
AWAY AFC Hornchurch
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 1
14.12.2024 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough 1-1 HT 1-1 AFC Hornchurch AFC Hornchurch İCON
17.08.2024 AFC Hornchurch AFC Hornchurch 0-1 HT 0-1 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough İCON
POST-MATCH Eastbourne Borough vs AFC Hornchurch
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Hornchurch squeezed past Eastbourne Borough 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 23% / 40%) promised a tight game; AFC Hornchurch found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Eastbourne Borough had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Eastbourne Borough and 0.50 for AFC Hornchurch.

What was the final score of Eastbourne Borough vs AFC Hornchurch?

Eastbourne Borough 1-2 AFC Hornchurch in the England - Conference on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eastbourne Borough vs AFC Hornchurch?

Before kick-off our model rated an AFC Hornchurch win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Eastbourne Borough 37%, draw 23%, AFC Hornchurch 40%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AFC Hornchurch), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (AFC Hornchurch) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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