Eastbourne Borough 1-1 AFC Hornchurch — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 14 Dec 2024

📅14/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.9
Draw
33%
3.28
Away
28%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.67
Over 2.5
45%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.95
No
54%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.56
2-3 Goals
37%
1.71
4-5 Goals
24%
4.1
6+ Goals
8%
20.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
49%
-9.7pp
33%
Draw
27%
+5.6pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+4.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.0pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eastbourne Borough EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Hornchurch EU Bookmakers 28%
+9% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
2.06/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.50
+25% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -1%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
258 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eastbourne Borough
1W-0D-0L
AWAY AFC Hornchurch
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
40% Ball Possession 60%
4 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 11
4 Yellow Cards 0
17.08.2024 AFC Hornchurch AFC Hornchurch 0-1 HT 0-1 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eastbourne Borough
1-1
AWAY AFC Hornchurch
62% Ball Possession 38%
15 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 1
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Eastbourne Borough vs AFC Hornchurch
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eastbourne Borough and AFC Hornchurch shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match split (39% / 33% / 28%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Eastbourne Borough had 62% of the ball to AFC Hornchurch's 38%, shots finished 15-4.

What was the final score of Eastbourne Borough vs AFC Hornchurch?

Eastbourne Borough 1-1 AFC Hornchurch in the England - Conference on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eastbourne Borough vs AFC Hornchurch?

Before kick-off our model rated a Eastbourne Borough win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Eastbourne Borough 39%, draw 33%, AFC Hornchurch 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Eastbourne Borough), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Eastbourne Borough) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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