Torquay United 2-0 Farnborough — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 14 Dec 2024

📅14/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.12
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
30%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.8
Over 2.5
45%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.76
No
53%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
2.95
2-3 Goals
39%
1.72
4-5 Goals
21%
3.57
6+ Goals
11%
15.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.95 — our 29% vs market 26.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
43%
+0.6pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.2pp
30%
Away Win
30%
-0.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.2pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Torquay United EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Farnborough EU Bookmakers 34%
+9% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +7%
1.83/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.78
+21% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -22%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
260 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Torquay United
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Farnborough
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 4
17.08.2024 Farnborough Farnborough 1-0 HT 1-0 Torquay United Torquay United İCON
20.02.2024 Farnborough Farnborough 0-0 HT 0-0 Torquay United Torquay United İCON
05.09.2023 Torquay United Torquay United 3-0 HT 1-0 Farnborough Farnborough İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Torquay United
2-0
AWAY Farnborough
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Torquay United vs Farnborough
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Torquay United got the better of Farnborough 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Torquay United as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Torquay United had 47% of the ball to Farnborough's 53%, shots finished 7-13.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Torquay United and 0.33 for Farnborough.

What was the final score of Torquay United vs Farnborough?

Torquay United 2-0 Farnborough in the England - Conference on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Torquay United vs Farnborough?

Before kick-off our model rated a Torquay United win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Torquay United 44%, draw 26%, Farnborough 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Torquay United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Torquay United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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