Farnborough 1-0 Torquay United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.12
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
33%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.07
Over 2.5
53%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.6
No
47%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.93
2-3 Goals
39%
1.84
4-5 Goals
25%
3.15
6+ Goals
10%
10.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
43%
-4.2pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.3pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+1.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.5pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Farnborough EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Torquay United EU Bookmakers 34%
+4% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
1.70/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/1.69
+11% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -46% / -18%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
315 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Farnborough
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Torquay United
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
5 Yellow Cards 2
20.02.2024 Farnborough Farnborough 0-0 HT 0-0 Torquay United Torquay United İCON
05.09.2023 Torquay United Torquay United 3-0 HT 1-0 Farnborough Farnborough İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Farnborough
1-0
AWAY Torquay United
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Farnborough vs Torquay United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Farnborough edged past Torquay United 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 28% / 33% — and on the day Farnborough made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Farnborough had 45% of the ball to Torquay United's 55%, shots finished 10-10.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Torquay United led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Farnborough and 1.50 for Torquay United.

What was the final score of Farnborough vs Torquay United?

Farnborough 1-0 Torquay United in the England - Conference on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Farnborough vs Torquay United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Farnborough win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Farnborough 39%, draw 28%, Torquay United 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Farnborough) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Farnborough) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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