Chesham United 1-2 Boreham Wood — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.69
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
45%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.8
Over 2.5
42%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.85
No
57%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
3.06
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
3.82
6+ Goals
9%
16.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.06 — our 34% vs market 27.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
16%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
24%
+8.1pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.2pp
45%
Away Win
51%
-5.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
52%
+6.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
48%
-6.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
50%
-7.0pp
57%
BTTS No
50%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chesham United EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Boreham Wood EU Bookmakers 55%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
229 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 502 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chesham United
1-2
AWAY Boreham Wood
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Chesham United vs Boreham Wood
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Boreham Wood edged past Chesham United 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Boreham Wood as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Chesham United had 56% of the ball to Boreham Wood's 44%, shots finished 14-12.

What was the final score of Chesham United vs Boreham Wood?

Chesham United 1-2 Boreham Wood in the England - Conference on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chesham United vs Boreham Wood?

Before kick-off our model rated an Boreham Wood win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Chesham United 32%, draw 23%, Boreham Wood 45%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Boreham Wood) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Boreham Wood) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İCON More England - Conference
17 Aug 2024
17:00 Needham Market vs Southport Analysis →
17:00 Maidstone United vs Truro City Analysis →
17:00 Scarborough Athletic vs Rushall Olympic Analysis →
17:00 Kidderminster Harriers vs Radcliffe Borough Analysis →
17:00 AFC Hornchurch vs Eastbourne Borough Analysis →
17:00 Buxton vs Farsley AFC Analysis →