Needham Market 1-2 Southport — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
3.08
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
39%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.86
Over 2.5
45%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.75
No
52%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.23
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.64
6+ Goals
9%
14.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.23 — our 29% vs market 25.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
19%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
29%
+7.0pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.3pp
39%
Away Win
45%
-6.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
50%
+5.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
50%
-5.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.9pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Needham Market EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Southport EU Bookmakers 49%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -49% / +77%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
259 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Needham Market
1-2
AWAY Southport
49% Ball Possession 51%
7 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Needham Market vs Southport
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Southport squeezed past Needham Market 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 25% / 39% — and on the day Southport made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Needham Market had 49% of the ball to Southport's 51%, shots finished 7-9.

What was the final score of Needham Market vs Southport?

Needham Market 1-2 Southport in the England - Conference on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Needham Market vs Southport?

Before kick-off our model rated an Southport win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Needham Market 36%, draw 25%, Southport 39%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Southport) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Southport) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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