AFC Hornchurch 0-1 Eastbourne Borough — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.86
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
30%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.0
Over 2.5
45%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.66
No
52%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
25%
3.78
2-3 Goals
45%
1.83
4-5 Goals
20%
3.22
6+ Goals
10%
11.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.78 — our 25% vs market 21.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
50%
-5.3pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.9pp
30%
Away Win
25%
+4.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
46%
+9.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
54%
-9.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.3pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Hornchurch EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Eastbourne Borough EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / -2%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +8%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
368 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AFC Hornchurch
0-1
AWAY Eastbourne Borough
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH AFC Hornchurch vs Eastbourne Borough
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eastbourne Borough nicked a narrow win over AFC Hornchurch 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was AFC Hornchurch at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, AFC Hornchurch had 60% of the ball to Eastbourne Borough's 40%, shots finished 16-4.

What was the final score of AFC Hornchurch vs Eastbourne Borough?

AFC Hornchurch 0-1 Eastbourne Borough in the England - Conference on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Hornchurch vs Eastbourne Borough?

Before kick-off our model rated a AFC Hornchurch win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split AFC Hornchurch 44%, draw 26%, Eastbourne Borough 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (AFC Hornchurch) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AFC Hornchurch) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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