Farsley AFC 1-2 Buxton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 14 Dec 2024

📅14/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
4.04
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
47%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.8
Over 2.5
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
2.98
2-3 Goals
41%
1.72
4-5 Goals
20%
3.53
6+ Goals
10%
14.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.98 — our 29% vs market 26.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
22%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
21%
+6.6pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.7pp
47%
Away Win
53%
-6.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.2pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Farsley AFC EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Buxton EU Bookmakers 57%
-2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -66% / -66%
0.96/1.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/3.00
-20% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / -66%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
273 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 377 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Farsley AFC
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Buxton
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.08.2024 Buxton Buxton 2-1 HT 1-0 Farsley AFC Farsley AFC İCON
11.11.2023 Buxton Buxton 1-2 HT 1-2 Farsley AFC Farsley AFC İCON
18.03.2023 Buxton Buxton 2-0 HT 1-0 Farsley AFC Farsley AFC İCON
24.01.2023 Farsley AFC Farsley AFC 2-1 HT 2-0 Buxton Buxton İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Farsley AFC
1-2
AWAY Buxton
32% Ball Possession 68%
5 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Farsley AFC vs Buxton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Buxton nicked a narrow win over Farsley AFC 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Buxton as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Farsley AFC had 32% of the ball to Buxton's 68%, shots finished 5-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Farsley AFC and 1.50 for Buxton.

What was the final score of Farsley AFC vs Buxton?

Farsley AFC 1-2 Buxton in the England - Conference on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Farsley AFC vs Buxton?

Before kick-off our model rated an Buxton win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Farsley AFC 28%, draw 25%, Buxton 47%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Buxton) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Buxton) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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