Boreham Wood 3-0 Chesham United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 14 Dec 2024

📅14/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.64
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
25%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.82
Over 2.5
49%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
2.98
2-3 Goals
42%
1.72
4-5 Goals
21%
3.54
6+ Goals
9%
14.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.98 — our 28% vs market 26.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
57%
-4.4pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.6pp
25%
Away Win
19%
+6.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
51%
+0.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
49%
-0.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.8pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boreham Wood EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Chesham United EU Bookmakers 22%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
1.17/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/2.00
-35% / +52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / -18%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
426 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Boreham Wood
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Chesham United
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
17.08.2024 Chesham United Chesham United 1-2 HT 0-1 Boreham Wood Boreham Wood İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Boreham Wood
3-0
AWAY Chesham United
54% Ball Possession 46%
4 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Boreham Wood vs Chesham United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Boreham Wood ran out comfortable winners over Chesham United 3-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Boreham Wood as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Boreham Wood had 54% of the ball to Chesham United's 46%, shots finished 4-10.

What was the final score of Boreham Wood vs Chesham United?

Boreham Wood 3-0 Chesham United in the England - Conference on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boreham Wood vs Chesham United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Boreham Wood win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Boreham Wood 53%, draw 22%, Chesham United 25%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Boreham Wood), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Boreham Wood) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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