Spennymoor Town 2-1 Leamington — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 14 Dec 2024

📅14/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
23%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.74
Over 2.5
42%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
33%
2.03
No
67%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.72
2-3 Goals
40%
1.71
4-5 Goals
20%
3.86
6+ Goals
8%
18.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.72 — our 32% vs market 29.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
57%
-5.4pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.1pp
23%
Away Win
18%
+5.3pp
58%
Under 2.5
54%
+4.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
46%
-4.7pp
33%
BTTS Yes
45%
-12.5pp
67%
BTTS No
55%
+12.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spennymoor Town EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Leamington EU Bookmakers 21%
+8% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -16%
2.16/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.60/1.30
+21% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -46% / +27%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
350 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spennymoor Town
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Leamington
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
17.08.2024 Leamington Leamington 3-1 HT 1-1 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town İCON
21.03.2023 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town 1-0 HT 0-0 Leamington Leamington İCON
20.08.2022 Leamington Leamington 0-1 HT 0-0 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town İCON
09.04.2022 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town 1-0 HT 0-0 Leamington Leamington İCON
28.08.2021 Leamington Leamington 2-1 HT 0-0 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town İCON
25.01.2020 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town 2-0 HT 1-0 Leamington Leamington İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Spennymoor Town
2-1
AWAY Leamington
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Spennymoor Town vs Leamington
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spennymoor Town nicked a narrow win over Leamington 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Spennymoor Town as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (67%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Spennymoor Town had 53% of the ball to Leamington's 47%, shots finished 16-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Spennymoor Town had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Spennymoor Town and 0.83 for Leamington.

What was the final score of Spennymoor Town vs Leamington?

Spennymoor Town 2-1 Leamington in the England - Conference on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spennymoor Town vs Leamington?

Before kick-off our model rated a Spennymoor Town win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Spennymoor Town 52%, draw 25%, Leamington 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Spennymoor Town) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Spennymoor Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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