Leamington 3-1 Spennymoor Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.08
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
42%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.71
Over 2.5
40%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.88
No
59%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.79
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.18
6+ Goals
9%
20.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.79 — our 34% vs market 29.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
29%
+2.5pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.3pp
42%
Away Win
45%
-2.8pp
60%
Under 2.5
55%
+5.2pp
40%
Over 2.5
45%
-5.2pp
41%
BTTS Yes
49%
-8.2pp
59%
BTTS No
51%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leamington EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Spennymoor Town EU Bookmakers 49%
+0% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +2%
1.00/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.15
-23% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +7%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
300 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leamington
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Spennymoor Town
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 8
0 Yellow Cards 2
21.03.2023 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town 1-0 HT 0-0 Leamington Leamington İCON
20.08.2022 Leamington Leamington 0-1 HT 0-0 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town İCON
09.04.2022 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town 1-0 HT 0-0 Leamington Leamington İCON
28.08.2021 Leamington Leamington 2-1 HT 0-0 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town İCON
25.01.2020 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town 2-0 HT 1-0 Leamington Leamington İCON
07.12.2019 Leamington Leamington 2-2 HT 1-2 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leamington
3-1
AWAY Spennymoor Town
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Leamington vs Spennymoor Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leamington got the better of Spennymoor Town 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Spennymoor Town at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Leamington had 47% of the ball to Spennymoor Town's 53%, shots finished 10-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Spennymoor Town led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Leamington and 1.33 for Spennymoor Town.

What was the final score of Leamington vs Spennymoor Town?

Leamington 3-1 Spennymoor Town in the England - Conference on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leamington vs Spennymoor Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Spennymoor Town win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Leamington 31%, draw 26%, Spennymoor Town 42%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Spennymoor Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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