Dumbarton 1-1 Elgin City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 2nd Division, 16 Aug 2025

📅16/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.76
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
21%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under
42%
1.91
Over Pick
58%
1.84
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.76
No
44%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1
23%
3.22
2-3
38%
1.73
4-5
27%
3.25
6+
12%
12.2
Value flag · 4-5 at 3.25 — our 27% vs market 23.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Dumbarton The Market 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Elgin City The Market 27%
Average Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Average Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Great
1.63 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.10
0.98 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.50
Weak Attackvs comparable teams Average
Average Defensevs comparable teams Average
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
184 · 90% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 138 · 89%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 5.0
Yellow Cards 5.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dumbarton
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Elgin City
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
8 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 1
27.01.2024 Elgin City Elgin City 0-1 HT 0-1 Dumbarton Dumbarton İK2
18.11.2023 Dumbarton Dumbarton 1-0 HT 0-0 Elgin City Elgin City İK2
16.09.2023 Elgin City Elgin City 2-0 HT 1-0 Dumbarton Dumbarton İK2
25.02.2023 Dumbarton Dumbarton 1-2 HT 1-1 Elgin City Elgin City İK2
12.11.2022 Elgin City Elgin City 0-4 HT 0-1 Dumbarton Dumbarton İK2
27.08.2022 Dumbarton Dumbarton 2-1 HT 0-1 Elgin City Elgin City İK2
REVIEW Dumbarton vs Elgin City
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Dumbarton and Elgin City couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our model won't enjoy this one — Dumbarton at 55% was the clear read, and the result ignored it. Over a season these leads pay; on a single Tuesday, anything can happen. On goals, both teams to score (56%) landed while over 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dumbarton had the better of it with 4 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.50 a game for Dumbarton against 0.83 for Elgin City.

Dumbarton vs Elgin City Result & Final Score

Dumbarton 1-1 Elgin City in the Scotland - 2nd Division on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Dumbarton vs Elgin City Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Dumbarton win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Dumbarton 55%, draw 24%, Elgin City 21%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Dumbarton), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dumbarton) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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