Elgin City vs Dumbarton Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Elgin City v Dumbarton — Team-Based Signals
Elgin City vs Dumbarton Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Elgin City
İK2
2-0
HT 1-0
Dumbarton
İK2
1-2
HT 1-1
Elgin City
İK2
0-4
HT 0-1
Dumbarton
İK2
2-1
HT 0-1
Elgin City
İK2
1-0
HT 1-0
Elgin City
İKK
Dumbarton squeezed past Elgin City 1-0 away from home.
We called this one close before kick-off — 29% / 33% / 38% — and on the day Dumbarton made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dumbarton led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Elgin City and 1.50 for Dumbarton.
What was the final score of Elgin City vs Dumbarton?
Elgin City 0-1 Dumbarton in the Scotland - 2nd Division on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Elgin City vs Dumbarton?
Before kick-off our model rated an Dumbarton win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Elgin City 29%, draw 33%, Dumbarton 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dumbarton), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.