Peterhead 2-1 Stenhousemuir — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 2nd Division, 27 Jan 2024

📅27/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.94
Draw
33%
3.35
Away
40%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.86
Over 2.5
40%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.73
No
54%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
3.21
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
18%
3.55
6+ Goals
9%
14.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.21 — our 34% vs market 25.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
4.73
1/2
9%
25.5
1/X
9%
13.6
X/1
11%
6.52
X/2
11%
4.68
X/X
17%
4.62
2/1
5%
34.0
2/2
21%
2.97
2/X
6%
13.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
30%
-2.9pp
32%
Draw
26%
+6.2pp
40%
Away Win
43%
-3.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
50%
+10.4pp
40%
Over 2.5
50%
-10.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
54%
-8.1pp
54%
BTTS No
46%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Peterhead EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Stenhousemuir EU Bookmakers 48%
+7% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +8%
1.48/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.93/1.15
+16% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / -5%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
273 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Peterhead
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Stenhousemuir
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 3
14.11.2023 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 2-0 HT 2-0 Peterhead Peterhead İK2
12.08.2023 Peterhead Peterhead 0-0 HT 0-0 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İK2
23.03.2021 Peterhead Peterhead 0-1 HT 0-1 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İKK
12.05.2018 Peterhead Peterhead 1-0 HT 0-0 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İK2
09.05.2018 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 2-0 HT 0-0 Peterhead Peterhead İK2
13.03.2018 Peterhead Peterhead 1-2 HT 0-2 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İK2
POST-MATCH Peterhead vs Stenhousemuir
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Peterhead nicked a narrow win over Stenhousemuir 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 27% / 32% / 40% — and on the day Peterhead made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stenhousemuir led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Peterhead and 1.17 for Stenhousemuir.

What was the final score of Peterhead vs Stenhousemuir?

Peterhead 2-1 Stenhousemuir in the Scotland - 2nd Division on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Peterhead vs Stenhousemuir?

Before kick-off our model rated an Stenhousemuir win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Peterhead 27%, draw 32%, Stenhousemuir 40%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Stenhousemuir) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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