Burton Albion vs Port Vale Prediction — Model Probabilities
Burton Albion v Port Vale — Team-Based Signals
Burton Albion vs Port Vale Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Burton Albion 0-0 Port Vale — Actual Match Statistics
neither Burton Albion nor Port Vale could break the deadlock in a goalless afternoon. A game for the defenders, not the highlight reels.
Our pre-match lean was Port Vale at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 47% and both teams to score at 50%, coin-flips both. At 1.67 (~60%), the under-2.5 price was shorter than our number — the market leaned harder than we did.
The match data tells the story: possession split 62% to 38% in Burton Albion's favour, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 1.37 to 0.79.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Port Vale led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.00 a game for Burton Albion against 1.50 for Port Vale.
Burton Albion vs Port Vale Result & Final Score
Burton Albion 0-0 Port Vale in the England - 1st Division on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Burton Albion vs Port Vale Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Port Vale win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Burton Albion 34%, draw 23%, Port Vale 43%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Port Vale) went the other way.