Burton Albion 0-1 Port Vale — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 23 Mar 2024

📅23/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.12
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
32%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
58%
1.6
Over
42%
2.11
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.97
No
55%
1.74
Total Goals
0-1
34%
2.5
2-3
39%
1.78
4-5
19%
4.74
6+
8%
26.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.11
1/2
10%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.85
X/1
16%
4.52
X/2
8%
6.57
X/X
14%
3.88
2/1
7%
30.5
2/2
14%
5.27
2/X
8%
14.3
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Burton Albion The Market 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Port Vale The Market 31%
Average Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Average Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Average
1.45 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.07
0.84 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.34
Average Attackvs comparable teams Average
Average Defensevs comparable teams Weak
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
283 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 203 · 61%
28.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
22.0 Crosses 16.8
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Burton Albion
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Port Vale
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.99 xG 1.40
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
165 Passes 328
58% Pass Accuracy 71%
19 Box Touches 27
12 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
14.11.2023 Burton Albion Burton Albion 0-2 HT 0-1 Port Vale Port Vale FAK
04.11.2023 Port Vale Port Vale 0-0 HT 0-0 Burton Albion Burton Albion FAK
19.09.2023 Port Vale Port Vale 2-3 HT 1-1 Burton Albion Burton Albion İN1
18.03.2023 Port Vale Port Vale 2-3 HT 1-1 Burton Albion Burton Albion İN1
20.08.2022 Burton Albion Burton Albion 0-2 HT 0-0 Port Vale Port Vale İN1
04.12.2021 Burton Albion Burton Albion 1-2 HT 1-0 Port Vale Port Vale FAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Burton Albion
0-1
AWAY Port Vale
0.50 xG 1.06
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
124 Passes 170
48% Pass Accuracy 59%
21 Box Touches 28
15 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 0
REVIEW Burton Albion vs Port Vale
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Port Vale nicked a narrow win over Burton Albion 1-0 away from home. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 28% / 32% — and on the day Port Vale made the difference. The goals call finished the job: under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) landed.

On the day, Port Vale saw more of the ball, 54% to 46%, shots finished 12-15, expected goals 0.50 to 1.06.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Port Vale led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.17 a game for Burton Albion against 1.67 for Port Vale.

Burton Albion vs Port Vale Result & Final Score

Burton Albion 0-1 Port Vale in the England - 1st Division on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Burton Albion vs Port Vale Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Burton Albion win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Burton Albion 40%, draw 28%, Port Vale 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Burton Albion) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Burton Albion) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İN1 More England - 1st Division
23 Mar 2024
18:00 Carlisle United vs Stevenage Analysis →
18:00 Northampton Town vs Derby County Analysis →