IK Brage 3-1 Vasteras SK FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 16 Aug 2025

IK Brage
3-1 HT 1-1
Vasteras SK FK
📅16/08/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Sweden - Superettan – 2025

IK Brage vs Vasteras SK FK Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.17
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
50%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.0
Over 2.5
53%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.51
2-3 Goals
36%
1.75
4-5 Goals
26%
3.05
6+ Goals
11%
10.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
5.2
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
22.8
1/X
8%
13.45
X/1
11%
7.32
X/2
13%
4.77
X/X
8%
4.99
2/1
7%
33.0
2/2
28%
2.69
2/X
7%
12.7
Value flag · 1/2 at 22.8 — our 9% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
28%
-1.4pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.7pp
51%
Away Win
46%
+4.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
46%
+0.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
54%
-0.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.1pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

IK Brage v Vasteras SK FK — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IK Brage EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Vasteras SK FK EU Bookmakers 50%
-6% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +14%
1.45/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/0.77
+6% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +58%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
361 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 387 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.6

IK Brage vs Vasteras SK FK Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IK Brage
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Vasteras SK FK
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
49% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
22.06.2025 Vasteras SK FK Vasteras SK FK 2-2 HT 2-1 IK Brage IK Brage İSÇ2
02.09.2023 Vasteras SK FK Vasteras SK FK 0-0 HT 0-0 IK Brage IK Brage İSÇ2
01.04.2023 IK Brage IK Brage 1-2 HT 0-0 Vasteras SK FK Vasteras SK FK İSÇ2
29.10.2022 IK Brage IK Brage 0-2 HT 0-2 Vasteras SK FK Vasteras SK FK İSÇ2
03.07.2022 Vasteras SK FK Vasteras SK FK 1-3 HT 0-1 IK Brage IK Brage İSÇ2
21.08.2021 IK Brage IK Brage 3-3 HT 1-1 Vasteras SK FK Vasteras SK FK İSÇ2
POST-MATCH IK Brage vs Vasteras SK FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IK Brage got the better of Vasteras SK FK 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Vasteras SK FK at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vasteras SK FK led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for IK Brage and 1.67 for Vasteras SK FK.

What was the final score of IK Brage vs Vasteras SK FK?

IK Brage 3-1 Vasteras SK FK in the Sweden - Superettan on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IK Brage vs Vasteras SK FK?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vasteras SK FK win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split IK Brage 27%, draw 23%, Vasteras SK FK 51%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Vasteras SK FK) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vasteras SK FK) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İSÇ2 More Sweden - Superettan
16 Aug 2025
14:00 Östersunds FK vs GIF Sundsvall Analysis →
16:00 Helsingborgs IF vs Falkenbergs FF Analysis →
16:00 Umea FC vs Kalmar Analysis →