Umea FC 0-1 Kalmar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 16 Aug 2025

Umea FC
0-1 HT 0-1
Kalmar
📅16/08/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✓ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
Sweden - Superettan – 2026

Umea FC vs Kalmar Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
16%
5.09
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
60%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.15
Over 2.5
50%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
3.82
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
2.9
6+ Goals
10%
9.03
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.82 — our 27% vs market 19.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
9.55
1/2
7%
20.8
1/X
7%
18.1
X/1
7%
11.85
X/2
15%
3.94
X/X
11%
6.19
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
38%
1.82
2/X
6%
16.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
16%
Home Win
16%
-0.3pp
24%
Draw
21%
+2.8pp
60%
Away Win
63%
-2.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
43%
+7.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
57%
-7.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.9pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Umea FC v Kalmar — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Umea FC EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Kalmar EU Bookmakers 67%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
1.24/2.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.01
+16% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -49% / +4%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
280 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 2.0

Umea FC vs Kalmar Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Umea FC
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Kalmar
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 8
0 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
22.05.2025 Kalmar Kalmar 2-0 HT 1-0 Umea FC Umea FC İSÇ2
POST-MATCH Umea FC vs Kalmar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kalmar edged past Umea FC 1-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Kalmar as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

What was the final score of Umea FC vs Kalmar?

Umea FC 0-1 Kalmar in the Sweden - Superettan on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Umea FC vs Kalmar?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kalmar win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Umea FC 16%, draw 24%, Kalmar 60%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kalmar), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kalmar) ✓ BTTS No
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