Lazio U20 1-2 Genoa U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Primavera Championship, 16 Aug 2025

📅16/08/2025 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.92
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
33%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.9
Over 2.5
46%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
24%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
48%
-7.3pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.5pp
33%
Away Win
26%
+6.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
49%
+5.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
51%
-5.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.3pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lazio U20 EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Genoa U20 EU Bookmakers 30%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.98/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.05
+9% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +63%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
317 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lazio U20
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Genoa U20
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 2
24.02.2025 Genoa U20 Genoa U20 1-2 HT 0-0 Lazio U20 Lazio U20 İTAPŞ1
28.09.2024 Lazio U20 Lazio U20 2-2 HT 0-2 Genoa U20 Genoa U20 İTAPŞ1
POST-MATCH Lazio U20 vs Genoa U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Genoa U20 squeezed past Lazio U20 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Lazio U20 at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Lazio U20 had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Lazio U20 and 1.50 for Genoa U20.

What was the final score of Lazio U20 vs Genoa U20?

Lazio U20 1-2 Genoa U20 in the Italy - Primavera Championship on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lazio U20 vs Genoa U20?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lazio U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Lazio U20 41%, draw 26%, Genoa U20 33%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lazio U20), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lazio U20) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTAPŞ1 More Italy - Primavera Championship
16 Aug 2025
12:00 Napoli U20 vs Cagliari U20 Analysis →
19:00 Monza U20 vs Inter U20 Analysis →
21:00 Juventus U20 vs Sassuolo U20 Analysis →