Napoli U20 1-0 Cagliari U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Primavera Championship, 16 Aug 2025

📅16/08/2025 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.27
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
36%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.9
Over 2.5
50%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.7
No
45%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
40%
-4.0pp
27%
Draw
26%
+2.0pp
36%
Away Win
34%
+2.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
49%
+1.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
51%
-1.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
55%
+0.2pp
45%
BTTS No
45%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Napoli U20 EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Cagliari U20 EU Bookmakers 38%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -60% / +47%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
264 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 237 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.2
POST-MATCH Napoli U20 vs Cagliari U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Napoli U20 edged past Cagliari U20 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 27% / 36%) promised a tight game; Napoli U20 found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Napoli U20 vs Cagliari U20?

Napoli U20 1-0 Cagliari U20 in the Italy - Primavera Championship on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Napoli U20 vs Cagliari U20?

Before kick-off our model rated a Napoli U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Napoli U20 36%, draw 27%, Cagliari U20 36%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/27/36) ✗ BTTS Yes
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