Bayern Alzenau 2-2 Freiburg II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 16 Aug 2025

📅16/08/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.17
Draw
19%
3.64
Away
50%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.23
Over 2.5
63%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.55
No
38%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
21%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
28%
+3.2pp
19%
Draw
24%
-4.9pp
50%
Away Win
48%
+1.6pp
37%
Under 2.5
41%
-3.9pp
63%
Over 2.5
59%
+3.9pp
62%
BTTS Yes
60%
+1.2pp
38%
BTTS No
40%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bayern Alzenau EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Freiburg II EU Bookmakers 52%
-28% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
0.82/1.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.53/1.53
-39% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +41% / -22%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
269 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 470 · 88%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bayern Alzenau
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Freiburg II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
36% Ball Possession 64%
11 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 0
20.04.2021 Bayern Alzenau Bayern Alzenau 1-3 HT 1-1 Freiburg II Freiburg II ALMBÖL
22.12.2020 Freiburg II Freiburg II 0-1 HT 0-1 Bayern Alzenau Bayern Alzenau ALMBÖL
16.10.2019 Bayern Alzenau Bayern Alzenau 1-0 HT 0-0 Freiburg II Freiburg II ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Bayern Alzenau vs Freiburg II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayern Alzenau and Freiburg II shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Freiburg II at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (62%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Bayern Alzenau had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Bayern Alzenau and 1.00 for Freiburg II.

What was the final score of Bayern Alzenau vs Freiburg II?

Bayern Alzenau 2-2 Freiburg II in the Germany - Regional League on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bayern Alzenau vs Freiburg II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Freiburg II win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Bayern Alzenau 31%, draw 19%, Freiburg II 50%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Freiburg II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Freiburg II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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