Greuther Fürth II 1-2 Buchbach — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 16 Aug 2025

📅16/08/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.05
Draw
21%
3.54
Away
30%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.23
Over 2.5
52%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.49
No
49%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
22%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
45%
+3.9pp
22%
Draw
25%
-3.2pp
30%
Away Win
30%
-0.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
63%
-11.7pp
49%
BTTS No
37%
+11.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Greuther Fürth II EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Buchbach EU Bookmakers 34%
-4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.76/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.22
+4% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +27%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
327 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Greuther Fürth II
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Buchbach
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
24.11.2024 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II 1-3 HT 0-2 Buchbach Buchbach ALMBÖL
09.08.2024 Buchbach Buchbach 1-4 HT 0-3 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II ALMBÖL
18.11.2023 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II 4-0 HT 1-0 Buchbach Buchbach ALMBÖL
11.08.2023 Buchbach Buchbach 0-1 HT 0-1 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II ALMBÖL
18.03.2023 Buchbach Buchbach 3-0 HT 2-0 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II ALMBÖL
27.08.2022 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II 0-2 HT 0-2 Buchbach Buchbach ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Greuther Fürth II vs Buchbach
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Buchbach edged past Greuther Fürth II 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Greuther Fürth II at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Greuther Fürth II and 1.50 for Buchbach.

What was the final score of Greuther Fürth II vs Buchbach?

Greuther Fürth II 1-2 Buchbach in the Germany - Regional League on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Greuther Fürth II vs Buchbach?

Before kick-off our model rated a Greuther Fürth II win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Greuther Fürth II 49%, draw 22%, Buchbach 30%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Greuther Fürth II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Greuther Fürth II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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