Greuther Fürth II 1-3 Buchbach — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 24 Nov 2024

📅24/11/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
1.82
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
36%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.43
Over 2.5
55%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.49
No
47%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
51%
-13.1pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.3pp
37%
Away Win
26%
+10.9pp
45%
Under 2.5
38%
+7.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
62%
-7.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
63%
-10.2pp
47%
BTTS No
37%
+10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Greuther Fürth II EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Buchbach EU Bookmakers 29%
-9% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -14%
1.63/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.63
-10% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +4%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
408 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Greuther Fürth II
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Buchbach
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
09.08.2024 Buchbach Buchbach 1-4 HT 0-3 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II ALMBÖL
18.11.2023 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II 4-0 HT 1-0 Buchbach Buchbach ALMBÖL
11.08.2023 Buchbach Buchbach 0-1 HT 0-1 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II ALMBÖL
18.03.2023 Buchbach Buchbach 3-0 HT 2-0 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II ALMBÖL
27.08.2022 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II 0-2 HT 0-2 Buchbach Buchbach ALMBÖL
09.03.2022 Buchbach Buchbach 0-2 HT 0-2 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Greuther Fürth II vs Buchbach
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Buchbach beat Greuther Fürth II 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (38% / 26% / 37%) promised a tight game; Buchbach found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Greuther Fürth II had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Greuther Fürth II and 1.00 for Buchbach.

What was the final score of Greuther Fürth II vs Buchbach?

Greuther Fürth II 1-3 Buchbach in the Germany - Regional League on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Greuther Fürth II vs Buchbach?

Before kick-off our model rated a Greuther Fürth II win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Greuther Fürth II 38%, draw 26%, Buchbach 37%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Greuther Fürth II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Greuther Fürth II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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