Chemie Leipzig 0-2 FSV Zwickau — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 24 Nov 2024

📅24/11/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.96
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
31%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.78
Over 2.5
44%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
47%
-6.1pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.0pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+4.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.1pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chemie Leipzig EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY FSV Zwickau EU Bookmakers 30%
+5% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.26/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.66
-25% / +69% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +2%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
429 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chemie Leipzig
0W-1D-1L
AWAY FSV Zwickau
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
57% Ball Possession 42%
20 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
10.03.2024 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig 1-2 HT 0-0 FSV Zwickau FSV Zwickau ALMBÖL
22.09.2023 FSV Zwickau FSV Zwickau 0-0 HT 0-0 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Chemie Leipzig vs FSV Zwickau
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FSV Zwickau got the better of Chemie Leipzig 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Chemie Leipzig at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, FSV Zwickau led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Chemie Leipzig and 1.00 for FSV Zwickau.

What was the final score of Chemie Leipzig vs FSV Zwickau?

Chemie Leipzig 0-2 FSV Zwickau in the Germany - Regional League on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chemie Leipzig vs FSV Zwickau?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chemie Leipzig win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Chemie Leipzig 41%, draw 28%, FSV Zwickau 31%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Chemie Leipzig) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chemie Leipzig) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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