Chemnitzer FC 1-0 Eilenburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 24 Nov 2024

📅24/11/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.72
Draw
32%
3.64
Away
24%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.82
Over 2.5
42%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.88
No
57%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
54%
-10.6pp
33%
Draw
24%
+8.2pp
24%
Away Win
21%
+2.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
51%
+6.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
49%
-6.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.1pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chemnitzer FC EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Eilenburg EU Bookmakers 24%
-5% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -4%
1.37/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.86
-30% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -1%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
378 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chemnitzer FC
4W-0D-0L
AWAY Eilenburg
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 2
31.01.2024 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Eilenburg Eilenburg ALMBÖL
06.04.2022 Eilenburg Eilenburg 1-2 HT 1-1 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC ALMBÖL
03.10.2021 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC 2-0 HT 0-0 Eilenburg Eilenburg ALMBÖL
13.07.2018 Eilenburg Eilenburg 1-2 HT 1-2 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC HAZ
POST-MATCH Chemnitzer FC vs Eilenburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chemnitzer FC nicked a narrow win over Eilenburg 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Chemnitzer FC as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Chemnitzer FC had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Chemnitzer FC and 0.50 for Eilenburg.

What was the final score of Chemnitzer FC vs Eilenburg?

Chemnitzer FC 1-0 Eilenburg in the Germany - Regional League on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chemnitzer FC vs Eilenburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chemnitzer FC win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Chemnitzer FC 44%, draw 33%, Eilenburg 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chemnitzer FC), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Chemnitzer FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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