Buchbach 1-4 Greuther Fürth II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 9 Aug 2024

📅09/08/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.38
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
34%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.51
Over 2.5
53%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.43
No
46%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
5%
2/1
11%
2/2
15%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
38%
+6.8pp
21%
Draw
24%
-2.6pp
34%
Away Win
38%
-4.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
36%
+10.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
64%
-10.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
66%
-11.3pp
46%
BTTS No
34%
+11.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Buchbach EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Greuther Fürth II EU Bookmakers 42%
+5% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -7%
1.65/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.33
+2% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +3%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
315 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Buchbach
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Greuther Fürth II
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
61% Ball Possession 39%
10 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
18.11.2023 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II 4-0 HT 1-0 Buchbach Buchbach ALMBÖL
11.08.2023 Buchbach Buchbach 0-1 HT 0-1 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II ALMBÖL
18.03.2023 Buchbach Buchbach 3-0 HT 2-0 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II ALMBÖL
27.08.2022 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II 0-2 HT 0-2 Buchbach Buchbach ALMBÖL
09.03.2022 Buchbach Buchbach 0-2 HT 0-2 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II ALMBÖL
03.08.2021 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II 0-3 HT 0-2 Buchbach Buchbach ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Buchbach vs Greuther Fürth II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Greuther Fürth II ran out comfortable winners over Buchbach 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Buchbach at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Buchbach and 1.17 for Greuther Fürth II.

What was the final score of Buchbach vs Greuther Fürth II?

Buchbach 1-4 Greuther Fürth II in the Germany - Regional League on 09/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Buchbach vs Greuther Fürth II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Buchbach win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Buchbach 45%, draw 21%, Greuther Fürth II 34%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Buchbach) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Buchbach) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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