Aubstadt 2-1 Türkgücü München — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 9 Aug 2024

📅09/08/2024 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.82
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.23
Over 2.5
45%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.55
No
53%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
51%
-7.7pp
27%
Draw
24%
+4.0pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+3.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
41%
+14.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
59%
-14.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
60%
-13.0pp
53%
BTTS No
40%
+13.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aubstadt EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Türkgücü München EU Bookmakers 29%
-12% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.33/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/2.34
-27% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -28%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
307 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 24.0
Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aubstadt
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Türkgücü München
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 6
24.02.2024 Türkgücü München Türkgücü München 0-1 HT 0-0 Aubstadt Aubstadt ALMBÖL
11.08.2023 Aubstadt Aubstadt 3-0 HT 0-0 Türkgücü München Türkgücü München ALMBÖL
03.12.2022 Türkgücü München Türkgücü München 1-0 HT 1-0 Aubstadt Aubstadt ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Aubstadt vs Türkgücü München
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aubstadt squeezed past Türkgücü München 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Aubstadt as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Aubstadt had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Aubstadt and 0.33 for Türkgücü München.

What was the final score of Aubstadt vs Türkgücü München?

Aubstadt 2-1 Türkgücü München in the Germany - Regional League on 09/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aubstadt vs Türkgücü München?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aubstadt win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Aubstadt 43%, draw 27%, Türkgücü München 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aubstadt) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aubstadt) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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