Türkgücü München 0-1 Aubstadt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
4.48
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
44%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.21
Over 2.5
46%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.68
No
51%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
24%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
19%
+10.8pp
26%
Draw
22%
+4.0pp
44%
Away Win
58%
-14.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
41%
+13.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
59%
-13.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.3pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Türkgücü München EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Aubstadt EU Bookmakers 62%
-27% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
0.00/1.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.68/0.82
-100% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / +24%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
263 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 379 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Türkgücü München
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Aubstadt
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
11.08.2023 Aubstadt Aubstadt 3-0 HT 0-0 Türkgücü München Türkgücü München ALMBÖL
03.12.2022 Türkgücü München Türkgücü München 1-0 HT 1-0 Aubstadt Aubstadt ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Türkgücü München
0-1
AWAY Aubstadt
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Türkgücü München vs Aubstadt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aubstadt nicked a narrow win over Türkgücü München 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Aubstadt as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Türkgücü München had 45% of the ball to Aubstadt's 55%, shots finished 9-14.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Türkgücü München and 1.50 for Aubstadt.

What was the final score of Türkgücü München vs Aubstadt?

Türkgücü München 0-1 Aubstadt in the Germany - Regional League on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Türkgücü München vs Aubstadt?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aubstadt win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Türkgücü München 30%, draw 26%, Aubstadt 44%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aubstadt), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Aubstadt) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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