Mönchengladbach II 2-1 Paderborn 07 II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 9 Aug 2024

📅09/08/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.75
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
26%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.23
Over 2.5
50%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.6
No
58%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
53%
+0.3pp
20%
Draw
24%
-3.0pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+2.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+9.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-9.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
58%
-16.2pp
58%
BTTS No
42%
+16.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mönchengladbach II EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Paderborn 07 II EU Bookmakers 27%
+4% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
2.21/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.76
+13% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / -4%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
374 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mönchengladbach II
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Paderborn 07 II
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 14
6 Yellow Cards 1
09.03.2024 Paderborn 07 II Paderborn 07 II 2-4 HT 0-3 Mönchengladbach II Mönchengladbach II ALMBÖL
22.09.2023 Mönchengladbach II Mönchengladbach II 2-1 HT 1-1 Paderborn 07 II Paderborn 07 II ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mönchengladbach II
2-1
AWAY Paderborn 07 II
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
POST-MATCH Mönchengladbach II vs Paderborn 07 II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mönchengladbach II edged past Paderborn 07 II 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Mönchengladbach II as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Mönchengladbach II had 58% of the ball to Paderborn 07 II's 42%, shots finished 15-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Mönchengladbach II had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Mönchengladbach II and 1.50 for Paderborn 07 II.

What was the final score of Mönchengladbach II vs Paderborn 07 II?

Mönchengladbach II 2-1 Paderborn 07 II in the Germany - Regional League on 09/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mönchengladbach II vs Paderborn 07 II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mönchengladbach II win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Mönchengladbach II 53%, draw 20%, Paderborn 07 II 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mönchengladbach II) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mönchengladbach II) ✗ BTTS No
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