Paderborn 07 II 2-4 Mönchengladbach II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.02
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
35%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.15
Over 2.5
58%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.56
No
49%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
46%
-7.0pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.6pp
35%
Away Win
28%
+6.4pp
42%
Under 2.5
43%
-0.7pp
58%
Over 2.5
57%
+0.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.8pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paderborn 07 II EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Mönchengladbach II EU Bookmakers 32%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +7%
2.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.07
+17% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +50%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
314 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paderborn 07 II
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Mönchengladbach II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 6
14 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 6
22.09.2023 Mönchengladbach II Mönchengladbach II 2-1 HT 1-1 Paderborn 07 II Paderborn 07 II ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Paderborn 07 II vs Mönchengladbach II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mönchengladbach II got the better of Paderborn 07 II 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 26% / 35% — and on the day Mönchengladbach II made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

What was the final score of Paderborn 07 II vs Mönchengladbach II?

Paderborn 07 II 2-4 Mönchengladbach II in the Germany - Regional League on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paderborn 07 II vs Mönchengladbach II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paderborn 07 II win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Paderborn 07 II 39%, draw 26%, Mönchengladbach II 35%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Paderborn 07 II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Paderborn 07 II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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