Vilzing 0-3 Wacker Burghausen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 9 Aug 2024

📅09/08/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.38
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
30%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.38
Over 2.5
60%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.46
No
43%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
38%
+8.7pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.4pp
30%
Away Win
38%
-8.4pp
40%
Under 2.5
38%
+1.4pp
60%
Over 2.5
62%
-1.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
64%
-7.2pp
43%
BTTS No
36%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vilzing EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Wacker Burghausen EU Bookmakers 43%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -8%
1.81/1.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.14
+12% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +21%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
334 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vilzing
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Wacker Burghausen
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
14.10.2023 Vilzing Vilzing 2-0 HT 0-0 Wacker Burghausen Wacker Burghausen ALMBÖL
28.03.2023 Vilzing Vilzing 1-1 HT 0-1 Wacker Burghausen Wacker Burghausen ALMBÖL
29.07.2022 Wacker Burghausen Wacker Burghausen 0-2 HT 0-1 Vilzing Vilzing ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Vilzing vs Wacker Burghausen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wacker Burghausen ran out comfortable winners over Vilzing 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Vilzing at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, over 2.5 goals (60%) landed while both teams to score (57%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Vilzing had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Vilzing and 0.33 for Wacker Burghausen.

What was the final score of Vilzing vs Wacker Burghausen?

Vilzing 0-3 Wacker Burghausen in the Germany - Regional League on 09/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vilzing vs Wacker Burghausen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vilzing win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Vilzing 47%, draw 23%, Wacker Burghausen 30%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Vilzing), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vilzing) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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