Mainz 05 II 3-1 Kickers Offenbach — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 16 Aug 2025

📅16/08/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
3.69
Draw
21%
3.94
Away
59%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.1
Over 2.5
51%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.68
No
45%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
22%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
29%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
24%
-3.9pp
21%
Draw
22%
-1.2pp
59%
Away Win
54%
+5.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.5pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mainz 05 II EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Kickers Offenbach EU Bookmakers 58%
-4% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
0.99/1.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.71/0.94
-23% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +11%
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
317 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 401 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mainz 05 II
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Kickers Offenbach
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
29.03.2025 Kickers Offenbach Kickers Offenbach 3-2 HT 1-1 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II ALMBÖL
20.09.2024 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II 4-2 HT 2-2 Kickers Offenbach Kickers Offenbach ALMBÖL
04.11.2023 Kickers Offenbach Kickers Offenbach 1-3 HT 1-0 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II ALMBÖL
05.11.2022 Kickers Offenbach Kickers Offenbach 1-1 HT 0-1 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II ALMBÖL
12.03.2022 Kickers Offenbach Kickers Offenbach 2-0 HT 1-0 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II ALMBÖL
25.09.2021 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II 2-0 HT 1-0 Kickers Offenbach Kickers Offenbach ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Mainz 05 II vs Kickers Offenbach
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mainz 05 II beat Kickers Offenbach 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

This one beat our numbers. Kickers Offenbach carried 59% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mainz 05 II had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Mainz 05 II and 1.50 for Kickers Offenbach.

What was the final score of Mainz 05 II vs Kickers Offenbach?

Mainz 05 II 3-1 Kickers Offenbach in the Germany - Regional League on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mainz 05 II vs Kickers Offenbach?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kickers Offenbach win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Mainz 05 II 20%, draw 21%, Kickers Offenbach 59%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kickers Offenbach) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kickers Offenbach) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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