Kortrijk 1-0 Lierse Kempenzonen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 16 Aug 2025

📅16/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.45
Draw
20%
4.19
Away
24%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.07
Over 2.5
53%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.85
No
46%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.72
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
25%
2.94
6+ Goals
12%
9.42
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
65%
-8.4pp
20%
Draw
21%
-0.5pp
24%
Away Win
15%
+8.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
50%
+3.8pp
46%
BTTS No
50%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kortrijk EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Lierse Kempenzonen EU Bookmakers 18%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -4%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
364 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
Crosses 17.9
Yellow Cards 2.1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kortrijk
1-0
AWAY Lierse Kempenzonen
1.23 xG 0.43
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 3
222 Passes 235
72% Pass Accuracy 78%
29 Box Touches 10
27 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Kortrijk vs Lierse Kempenzonen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kortrijk squeezed past Lierse Kempenzonen 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Kortrijk as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Kortrijk had 47% of the ball to Lierse Kempenzonen's 53%, shots finished 14-6, expected goals 1.23 to 0.43.

What was the final score of Kortrijk vs Lierse Kempenzonen?

Kortrijk 1-0 Lierse Kempenzonen in the Belgium - 1st Division on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kortrijk vs Lierse Kempenzonen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kortrijk win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Kortrijk 56%, draw 20%, Lierse Kempenzonen 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kortrijk) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kortrijk) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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