Lommel United 3-0 Olympic Charleroi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 16 Aug 2025

📅16/08/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.75
Draw
20%
3.64
Away
27%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.03
Over 2.5
61%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.7
No
43%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.6
2-3 Goals
37%
1.76
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
30%
3.0
6+ Goals
11%
9.93
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.0 — our 30% vs market 26.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
5%
X/X
6%
2/1
10%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
54%
-0.5pp
20%
Draw
24%
-4.6pp
27%
Away Win
22%
+5.1pp
39%
Under 2.5
45%
-6.6pp
61%
Over 2.5
55%
+6.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
55%
+1.8pp
43%
BTTS No
45%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lommel United EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Olympic Charleroi EU Bookmakers 25%
-13% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-18% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
377 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 79%
29.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.1 Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lommel United
3-0
AWAY Olympic Charleroi
2.71 xG 0.19
60% Ball Possession 40%
21 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 2
474 Passes 290
88% Pass Accuracy 79%
29 Box Touches 12
24 Crosses 7
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lommel United vs Olympic Charleroi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lommel United ran out comfortable winners over Olympic Charleroi 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Lommel United as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (61%) landed while both teams to score (57%) missed.

On the day, Lommel United had 60% of the ball to Olympic Charleroi's 40%, shots finished 21-7, expected goals 2.71 to 0.19.

What was the final score of Lommel United vs Olympic Charleroi?

Lommel United 3-0 Olympic Charleroi in the Belgium - 1st Division on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lommel United vs Olympic Charleroi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lommel United win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Lommel United 53%, draw 20%, Olympic Charleroi 27%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lommel United), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lommel United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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