Incheon United 1-2 Seongnam — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 16 Aug 2025

📅16/08/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.92
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
25%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.6
Over 2.5
42%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.03
No
53%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.36
2-3 Goals
42%
1.7
4-5 Goals
18%
4.42
6+ Goals
8%
24.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
48%
-0.0pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.6pp
26%
Away Win
25%
+0.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
45%
+2.1pp
53%
BTTS No
55%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Incheon United EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Seongnam EU Bookmakers 29%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +7%
1.53/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.35
+0% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +3%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
355 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.7 Crosses 16.4
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Incheon United
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Seongnam
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.77 xG 0.83
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
302 Passes 338
74% Pass Accuracy 76%
16 Box Touches 14
14 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.03.2025 Seongnam Seongnam 2-1 HT 0-0 Incheon United Incheon United GKOR2
30.07.2022 Seongnam Seongnam 3-1 HT 0-0 Incheon United Incheon United GKOK
29.05.2022 Incheon United Incheon United 1-0 HT 0-0 Seongnam Seongnam GKOK
20.03.2022 Seongnam Seongnam 0-1 HT 0-0 Incheon United Incheon United GKOK
03.11.2021 Seongnam Seongnam 1-1 HT 1-1 Incheon United Incheon United GKOK
19.09.2021 Incheon United Incheon United 0-1 HT 0-0 Seongnam Seongnam GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Incheon United
1-2
AWAY Seongnam
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
302 Passes 377
83% Pass Accuracy 87%
19 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Incheon United vs Seongnam
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Seongnam squeezed past Incheon United 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Incheon United at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Incheon United had 46% of the ball to Seongnam's 54%, shots finished 10-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Seongnam led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Incheon United and 1.17 for Seongnam.

What was the final score of Incheon United vs Seongnam?

Incheon United 1-2 Seongnam in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Incheon United vs Seongnam?

Before kick-off our model rated a Incheon United win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Incheon United 48%, draw 27%, Seongnam 26%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Incheon United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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