Aurora 3-2 Antigua GFC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 16 Aug 2025

📅16/08/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
3.29
Draw
24%
3.11
Away
40%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.62
Over 2.5
46%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.95
No
52%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
26%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
27%
+8.6pp
24%
Draw
29%
-4.4pp
40%
Away Win
44%
-4.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
58%
-4.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
42%
+4.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.1pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aurora EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Antigua GFC EU Bookmakers 48%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +38%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
257 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.6
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aurora
3-2
AWAY Antigua GFC
43% Ball Possession 57%
19 Total Shots 12
12 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Aurora vs Antigua GFC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aurora squeezed past Antigua GFC 3-2. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 24% / 40% — and on the day Aurora made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Aurora had 43% of the ball to Antigua GFC's 57%, shots finished 19-12.

What was the final score of Aurora vs Antigua GFC?

Aurora 3-2 Antigua GFC in the Guatemala - National League on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aurora vs Antigua GFC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Antigua GFC win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Aurora 36%, draw 24%, Antigua GFC 40%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Antigua GFC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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GUAT More Guatemala - National League
16 Aug 2025
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