Malacateco vs Municipal Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Malacateco v Municipal — Team-Based Signals
Malacateco vs Municipal Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Malacateco 2-3 Municipal — Actual Match Statistics
Municipal nicked a narrow win over Malacateco 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 28% / 39% — and on the day Municipal made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Malacateco had 55% of the ball to Municipal's 45%, shots finished 16-14.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Municipal led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Malacateco and 1.83 for Municipal.
What was the final score of Malacateco vs Municipal?
Malacateco 2-3 Municipal in the Guatemala - National League on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Malacateco vs Municipal?
Before kick-off our model rated an Municipal win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Malacateco 33%, draw 28%, Municipal 39%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Municipal) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.