Malacateco 4-0 Municipal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.53
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
37%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.51
Over 2.5
40%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.09
No
53%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
36%
-2.8pp
29%
Draw
30%
-0.4pp
37%
Away Win
34%
+3.1pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.2pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.8pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Malacateco EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Municipal EU Bookmakers 37%
+17% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -1%
1.75/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.08
+54% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +12%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
304 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Malacateco
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Municipal
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 4
11.08.2024 Municipal Municipal 0-0 HT 0-0 Malacateco Malacateco GUAT
28.04.2024 Municipal Municipal 4-0 HT 3-0 Malacateco Malacateco GUAT
26.04.2024 Malacateco Malacateco 3-2 HT 2-0 Municipal Municipal GUAT
10.04.2024 Municipal Municipal 3-0 HT 1-0 Malacateco Malacateco GUAT
05.10.2023 Malacateco Malacateco 1-1 HT 1-1 Municipal Municipal GUAT
19.04.2023 Municipal Municipal 2-1 HT 2-0 Malacateco Malacateco GUAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Malacateco
4-0
AWAY Municipal
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Malacateco vs Municipal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Malacateco ran out comfortable winners over Municipal 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 29% / 37% — and on the day Malacateco made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Malacateco had 48% of the ball to Municipal's 52%, shots finished 12-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Municipal led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Malacateco and 2.00 for Municipal.

What was the final score of Malacateco vs Municipal?

Malacateco 4-0 Municipal in the Guatemala - National League on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Malacateco vs Municipal?

Before kick-off our model rated an Municipal win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Malacateco 34%, draw 29%, Municipal 37%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Municipal), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Municipal) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GUAT More Guatemala - National League
27 Oct 2024
00:00 Mixco vs Marquense Analysis →
06:00 Xelaju MC vs Achuapa Analysis →