Malacateco vs Municipal Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Malacateco v Municipal — Team-Based Signals
Malacateco vs Municipal Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-1
Municipal
GUAT
2-1
HT 2-0
Malacateco
GUAT
2-2
HT 1-0
Municipal
GUAT
1-0
HT 0-0
Municipal
GUAT
2-0
HT 2-0
Malacateco
GUAT
Malacateco 3-2 Municipal — Actual Match Statistics
Malacateco squeezed past Municipal 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 29% / 33% — and on the day Malacateco made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Malacateco had 46% of the ball to Municipal's 54%, shots finished 12-5.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Municipal led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Malacateco and 1.67 for Municipal.
What was the final score of Malacateco vs Municipal?
Malacateco 3-2 Municipal in the Guatemala - National League on 26/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Malacateco vs Municipal?
Before kick-off our model rated a Malacateco win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Malacateco 38%, draw 29%, Municipal 33%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Malacateco) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.