Xinabajul 0-1 Antigua GFC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 26 Apr 2024

📅26/04/2024 · 🕒05:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.19
Draw
25%
2.94
Away
27%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
Over 2.5
36%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
No
57%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
42%
+6.0pp
25%
Draw
30%
-5.3pp
27%
Away Win
28%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Xinabajul EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Antigua GFC EU Bookmakers 32%
+3% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +3%
1.57/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.37
+28% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -11%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
367 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Xinabajul
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Antigua GFC
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
41% Ball Possession 59%
6 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 9
5 Yellow Cards 5
22.04.2024 Xinabajul Xinabajul 2-0 HT 1-0 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC GUAT
27.11.2023 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC 2-1 HT 1-1 Xinabajul Xinabajul GUAT
07.05.2023 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC 1-3 HT 1-0 Xinabajul Xinabajul GUAT
06.03.2023 Xinabajul Xinabajul 3-1 HT 1-0 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC GUAT
13.11.2022 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC 3-0 HT 2-0 Xinabajul Xinabajul GUAT
01.09.2022 Xinabajul Xinabajul 2-1 HT 1-1 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC GUAT
POST-MATCH Xinabajul vs Antigua GFC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Antigua GFC nicked a narrow win over Xinabajul 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Xinabajul at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Xinabajul had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Xinabajul and 1.33 for Antigua GFC.

What was the final score of Xinabajul vs Antigua GFC?

Xinabajul 0-1 Antigua GFC in the Guatemala - National League on 26/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Xinabajul vs Antigua GFC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Xinabajul win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Xinabajul 48%, draw 25%, Antigua GFC 27%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Xinabajul) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Xinabajul) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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26 Apr 2024
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