Municipal vs Malacateco Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Municipal v Malacateco — Team-Based Signals
Municipal vs Malacateco Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-1
Municipal
GUAT
2-1
HT 2-0
Malacateco
GUAT
2-2
HT 1-0
Municipal
GUAT
1-0
HT 0-0
Municipal
GUAT
Municipal 4-0 Malacateco — Actual Match Statistics
Municipal swept aside Malacateco 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Municipal as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.
On the day, Municipal had 46% of the ball to Malacateco's 54%, shots finished 12-12.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Municipal and 1.33 for Malacateco.
What was the final score of Municipal vs Malacateco?
Municipal 4-0 Malacateco in the Guatemala - National League on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Municipal vs Malacateco?
Before kick-off our model rated a Municipal win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Municipal 62%, draw 19%, Malacateco 19%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Municipal), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.