Mixco vs Achuapa Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Mixco v Achuapa — Team-Based Signals
Mixco vs Achuapa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Mixco
GUAT
2-0
HT 2-0
Achuapa
GUAT
1-0
HT 0-0
Mixco
GUAT
Mixco 2-1 Achuapa — Actual Match Statistics
Mixco nicked a narrow win over Achuapa 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Mixco as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Mixco had 38% of the ball to Achuapa's 62%, shots finished 10-13.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Mixco and 0.67 for Achuapa.
What was the final score of Mixco vs Achuapa?
Mixco 2-1 Achuapa in the Guatemala - National League on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Mixco vs Achuapa?
Before kick-off our model rated a Mixco win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Mixco 51%, draw 27%, Achuapa 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mixco) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.