Achuapa 0-2 Mixco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 25 Apr 2024

📅25/04/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.76
Draw
33%
3.35
Away
18%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
Over 2.5
43%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
No
51%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
5%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
53%
-3.8pp
33%
Draw
26%
+6.1pp
19%
Away Win
21%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Achuapa EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Mixco EU Bookmakers 24%
+0% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.58/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.88
-4% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +61%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
342 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Achuapa
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Mixco
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
11.03.2024 Achuapa Achuapa 1-0 HT 0-0 Mixco Mixco GUAT
11.02.2024 Mixco Mixco 1-0 HT 1-0 Achuapa Achuapa GUAT
01.10.2023 Achuapa Achuapa 2-0 HT 1-0 Mixco Mixco GUAT
27.08.2023 Mixco Mixco 2-0 HT 2-0 Achuapa Achuapa GUAT
20.03.2023 Achuapa Achuapa 1-0 HT 0-0 Mixco Mixco GUAT
29.01.2023 Mixco Mixco 3-0 HT 2-0 Achuapa Achuapa GUAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Achuapa
0-2
AWAY Mixco
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Achuapa vs Mixco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mixco got the better of Achuapa 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Achuapa at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Achuapa had 60% of the ball to Mixco's 40%, shots finished 15-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Achuapa and 1.00 for Mixco.

What was the final score of Achuapa vs Mixco?

Achuapa 0-2 Mixco in the Guatemala - National League on 25/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Achuapa vs Mixco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Achuapa win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Achuapa 49%, draw 33%, Mixco 19%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Achuapa) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Achuapa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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