Achuapa vs Mixco Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Achuapa v Mixco — Team-Based Signals
Achuapa vs Mixco Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Mixco
GUAT
2-0
HT 2-0
Achuapa
GUAT
1-0
HT 0-0
Mixco
GUAT
3-0
HT 2-0
Achuapa
GUAT
2-2
HT 2-0
Achuapa
GUAT
Achuapa 1-0 Mixco — Actual Match Statistics
Achuapa squeezed past Mixco 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Achuapa as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%) came in.
On the day, Achuapa had 55% of the ball to Mixco's 45%, shots finished 9-9.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mixco led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Achuapa and 1.33 for Mixco.
What was the final score of Achuapa vs Mixco?
Achuapa 1-0 Mixco in the Guatemala - National League on 11/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Achuapa vs Mixco?
Before kick-off our model rated a Achuapa win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Achuapa 44%, draw 30%, Mixco 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Achuapa), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.