Coatepeque 2-1 Xelaju MC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 11 Mar 2024

📅11/03/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
31%
2.88
Away
32%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.52
Over 2.5
35%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.99
No
60%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
43%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
18%
X/X
20%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+3.3pp
31%
Draw
31%
+0.5pp
32%
Away Win
36%
-3.8pp
65%
Under 2.5
62%
+2.8pp
35%
Over 2.5
38%
-2.8pp
40%
BTTS Yes
46%
-6.0pp
60%
BTTS No
54%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Coatepeque EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Xelaju MC EU Bookmakers 39%
-39% / -39% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -50% / -50%
0.69/1.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
-45% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +20%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
262 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Coatepeque
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Xelaju MC
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
12.02.2024 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC 2-1 HT 1-1 Coatepeque GUAT
01.10.2023 Coatepeque 0-0 HT 0-0 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC GUAT
26.08.2023 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC 1-1 HT 0-0 Coatepeque GUAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Coatepeque
2-1
AWAY Xelaju MC
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 7
POST-MATCH Coatepeque vs Xelaju MC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Coatepeque nicked a narrow win over Xelaju MC 2-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 31% / 32% — and on the day Coatepeque made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Coatepeque had 42% of the ball to Xelaju MC's 58%, shots finished 7-18.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Xelaju MC led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Coatepeque and 1.00 for Xelaju MC.

What was the final score of Coatepeque vs Xelaju MC?

Coatepeque 2-1 Xelaju MC in the Guatemala - National League on 11/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Coatepeque vs Xelaju MC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Coatepeque win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Coatepeque 37%, draw 31%, Xelaju MC 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Coatepeque) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Coatepeque) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GUAT More Guatemala - National League
11 Mar 2024
00:00 Achuapa vs Mixco Analysis →