Xelaju MC 2-0 Achuapa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒06:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.32
Draw
28%
4.34
Away
15%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.64
Over 2.5
45%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.95
No
53%
1.35
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
5%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
72%
-14.6pp
28%
Draw
20%
+7.7pp
15%
Away Win
9%
+6.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
57%
-1.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
43%
+1.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
30%
+17.1pp
53%
BTTS No
70%
-17.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Xelaju MC EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Achuapa EU Bookmakers 11%
+3% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +9%
1.91/0.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.99
-4% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -10%
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
384 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 217 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Xelaju MC
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Achuapa
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 5
6 Yellow Cards 1
12.08.2024 Achuapa Achuapa 0-0 HT 0-0 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC GUAT
11.04.2024 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC 4-1 HT 1-0 Achuapa Achuapa GUAT
03.12.2023 Achuapa Achuapa 1-3 HT 0-1 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC GUAT
01.12.2023 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC 3-1 HT 3-0 Achuapa Achuapa GUAT
13.11.2023 Achuapa Achuapa 1-0 HT 0-0 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC GUAT
02.04.2023 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC 6-1 HT 5-1 Achuapa Achuapa GUAT
POST-MATCH Xelaju MC vs Achuapa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Xelaju MC saw off Achuapa 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Xelaju MC as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Xelaju MC had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Xelaju MC and 0.83 for Achuapa.

What was the final score of Xelaju MC vs Achuapa?

Xelaju MC 2-0 Achuapa in the Guatemala - National League on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Xelaju MC vs Achuapa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Xelaju MC win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Xelaju MC 57%, draw 28%, Achuapa 15%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Xelaju MC), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Xelaju MC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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