Malacateco 0-1 Municipal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 7 Apr 2025

📅07/04/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.12
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
28%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.67
Over 2.5
36%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.88
No
59%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
8%
1/X
11%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
43%
+0.7pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.3pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+0.6pp
64%
Under 2.5
56%
+8.0pp
36%
Over 2.5
44%
-8.0pp
41%
BTTS Yes
49%
-8.3pp
59%
BTTS No
51%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Malacateco EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Municipal EU Bookmakers 31%
+7% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.26/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.16
-1% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +9%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 4
282 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Malacateco
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Municipal
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 4
02.02.2025 Municipal Municipal 4-2 HT 1-1 Malacateco Malacateco GUAT
27.10.2024 Malacateco Malacateco 4-0 HT 1-0 Municipal Municipal GUAT
11.08.2024 Municipal Municipal 0-0 HT 0-0 Malacateco Malacateco GUAT
28.04.2024 Municipal Municipal 4-0 HT 3-0 Malacateco Malacateco GUAT
26.04.2024 Malacateco Malacateco 3-2 HT 2-0 Municipal Municipal GUAT
10.04.2024 Municipal Municipal 3-0 HT 1-0 Malacateco Malacateco GUAT
POST-MATCH Malacateco vs Municipal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Municipal nicked a narrow win over Malacateco 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Malacateco at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Municipal led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Malacateco and 2.17 for Municipal.

What was the final score of Malacateco vs Municipal?

Malacateco 0-1 Municipal in the Guatemala - National League on 07/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Malacateco vs Municipal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Malacateco win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Malacateco 44%, draw 28%, Municipal 28%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Malacateco) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Malacateco) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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