Municipal vs Malacateco Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Municipal v Malacateco — Team-Based Signals
Municipal vs Malacateco Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-1
Municipal
GUAT
Municipal 4-2 Malacateco — Actual Match Statistics
Municipal got the better of Malacateco 4-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Municipal as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Municipal had 67% of the ball to Malacateco's 33%, shots finished 24-7.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Municipal and 1.33 for Malacateco.
What was the final score of Municipal vs Malacateco?
Municipal 4-2 Malacateco in the Guatemala - National League on 02/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Municipal vs Malacateco?
Before kick-off our model rated a Municipal win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Municipal 49%, draw 30%, Malacateco 21%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Municipal) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.