Xinabajul 2-2 Xelaju MC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 7 Apr 2025

📅07/04/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.67
Draw
27%
2.88
Away
27%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.64
Over 2.5
34%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.85
No
59%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
34%
+11.7pp
27%
Draw
31%
-4.5pp
28%
Away Win
35%
-7.2pp
66%
Under 2.5
57%
+9.3pp
34%
Over 2.5
43%
-9.3pp
41%
BTTS Yes
50%
-9.5pp
59%
BTTS No
50%
+9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Xinabajul EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Xelaju MC EU Bookmakers 38%
-3% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
1.18/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.31
+1% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -14%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
270 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 7.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Xinabajul
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Xelaju MC
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 3
03.02.2025 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC 7-2 HT 3-1 Xinabajul Xinabajul GUAT
08.09.2024 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC 2-0 HT 2-0 Xinabajul Xinabajul GUAT
29.02.2024 Xinabajul Xinabajul 0-0 HT 0-0 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC GUAT
02.02.2024 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC 2-0 HT 0-0 Xinabajul Xinabajul GUAT
18.09.2023 Xinabajul Xinabajul 2-0 HT 1-0 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC GUAT
13.08.2023 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC 1-1 HT 1-1 Xinabajul Xinabajul GUAT
POST-MATCH Xinabajul vs Xelaju MC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Xinabajul and Xelaju MC couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Xinabajul at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Xelaju MC led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Xinabajul and 2.00 for Xelaju MC.

What was the final score of Xinabajul vs Xelaju MC?

Xinabajul 2-2 Xelaju MC in the Guatemala - National League on 07/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Xinabajul vs Xelaju MC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Xinabajul win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Xinabajul 46%, draw 27%, Xelaju MC 28%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Xinabajul) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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GUAT More Guatemala - National League
7 Apr 2025
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